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2010 September 05 — Why Now?
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Tropical Depression Ten

Tropical Depression TenPosition: 20.7N 95.2W [10 PM CDT 0300 UTC].
Movement: North [005°] near 7 mph [11 kph].
Maximum sustained winds: 30 mph [ 45 kph].
Wind Gusts: 40 mph [ 60 kph].
Minimum central pressure: 1006 mb.

Currently about 270 miles [435 km] Southeast of La Pesca, Mexico.

[I shouldn’t have mentioned the possible break until tomorrow.]

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the coast of Mexico from Tampico to the mouth of the Rio Bravo/Grande.

Here’s the link for NOAA’s latest satellite images.

[For the latest information click on the storm symbol, or go to the CATEGORIES drop-down box below the CALENDAR and select “Hurricanes” for all of the posts related to storms on this site.]

September 5, 2010   Comments Off on Tropical Depression Ten

A Break?

This is the first day in the last two weeks in which there isn’t even a Tropical Depression in the Atlantic Basin, but it won’t last.

Update: I spoke too soon.

I’m watching a low pressure area at the South end of the Bay of Campeche that might be the remnant of Pacific Tropical Depression 10E. It is slowly moving to the Northwest and has favorable conditions for development. If it continues on its current track it will be short-lived, coming ashore around the Texas-Mexico border as a Tropical Storm at most.

Then there is Gaston, which faded to a remnant low, but appears to be regenerating as it heads towards the Lesser Antilles. It is surrounded by dry air at the moment, but seems to be getting organized. When it organizes will determine its track. If it spins up quickly, it will probably turn to the Northwest, otherwise it will continue to the West.

There is another nasty piece of work due to enter the Atlantic from Africa. It looks menacing over land, but it could fade. All of the activity South of the Cape Verde Islands may have caused the upwelling of cooler water, which would help dampen development.

September 5, 2010   Comments Off on A Break?