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Comments on: Economic Reality https://whynow.dumka.us/2007/10/10/economic-reality/ On-line Opinion Magazine...OK, it's a blog Mon, 15 Oct 2007 03:23:27 +0000 hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.4.3 By: Bryan https://whynow.dumka.us/2007/10/10/economic-reality/comment-page-1/#comment-30327 Mon, 15 Oct 2007 03:23:27 +0000 http://whynow.dumka.us/2007/10/10/economic-reality/#comment-30327 Send some of those Chinese down here, because the local market really sucks. There’s a duplex 3 bedroom/2½ bath at the end of the street that has had a For Sale in front of it for weeks, and no one is even nibbling. If they can’t sell it, the owners are going to have to rent it, because they are being transferred.

The places were built in 2004 and selling for upwards of $400K at one point, but he can’t get any interest at $175K. His best shot is the military for a rental, because locals can’t afford the rent he needs to get to cover the mortgage and condo fees.

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By: Badtux https://whynow.dumka.us/2007/10/10/economic-reality/comment-page-1/#comment-30325 Mon, 15 Oct 2007 02:53:40 +0000 http://whynow.dumka.us/2007/10/10/economic-reality/#comment-30325 Bryan, I know where those $600K houses that auctioned for $300K are located. They are located 90 minutes away from the majority of employers in the San Francisco Bay area, and only eight of the houses sold in the first place. This was a case of a builder who way overpriced his inventory for the local conditions (the upswing in fuel prices hasn’t helped either, since it’s a 150 mile round trip from there to work, i.e. roughly $20 per day just for fuel), not a symptom of a lack of mortgage money. Brand new townhouses next door to me in the center of the “Golden Triangle” of the Silicon Valley (i.e. within 15 minutes of most major employers) are still selling for $750K and up, and brand new condos next door to me (basically apartments, except you buy rather than rent them, they were originally permitted as apartment buildings then re-permitted as condos with no change in the floor plans when the condo market went wild) are still selling for $450K and up. While the “liar loans” are now gone, apparently there do still exist people with the money to buy the right house in the right neighborhood — and that neighborhood is likely to be closer to where the Frosts live nowdays because folks have figured out that commuting to work for 3 hours a day sucks.

That said, you are correct that the current pricing is unsustainable without cheap money, especially as the flood of foreclosures hit the market. On the other hand, who’s picking up those foreclosures? Around here, it’s Chinese interests. Yeppers, just say hello to our new Chinese overlords oops landlords as they do their part to make sure that housing prices stay high (and thus their mortgage-backed securities in their portfolios remain valuable) via taking houses off the market until the prices go back up.

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By: Bryan https://whynow.dumka.us/2007/10/10/economic-reality/comment-page-1/#comment-30278 Fri, 12 Oct 2007 22:53:07 +0000 http://whynow.dumka.us/2007/10/10/economic-reality/#comment-30278 Badtux, I would probably pay $300-400K for it based on when it was built because it would have been built with true dimensional wood [2X4s that are actually 2 inches by 4 inches] and hardwood that you can’t get anymore. They build boats in Baltimore so I assume that the people who built it were decent woodworkers.

The problem is that no one is buying property right now. There is no mortgage money. There are examples of builders auctioning off houses that went for $600K with a starting price of $300K. The housing market has collapsed, and if no one wants or is able to buy what you’re selling, the value is zero.

The Frosts apparently don’t think much of the school system, and not everyone is willing to live in a row house. The neighborhood can’t be too bad or the wingers wouldn’t have stopped by, but if no one is buying there’s no point in talking about value.

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By: Badtux https://whynow.dumka.us/2007/10/10/economic-reality/comment-page-1/#comment-30273 Fri, 12 Oct 2007 21:20:46 +0000 http://whynow.dumka.us/2007/10/10/economic-reality/#comment-30273 Brian, a 650 square foot 1960’s vintage apartment with no garage and no air conditioning converted to condo sells for $365,000 around here. A 1970’s vintage mobile home in a standard trailer park sells for $250,000 around here. While property values in Baltimore are nowhere near Santa Clara, it wouldn’t surpise me if their home is now “worth” $400K even though, from the photo, it appears to be pretty much a dump.

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By: hipparchia https://whynow.dumka.us/2007/10/10/economic-reality/comment-page-1/#comment-30253 Fri, 12 Oct 2007 06:55:56 +0000 http://whynow.dumka.us/2007/10/10/economic-reality/#comment-30253 i’m sure it was the multiplicity of links; i was expecting it 🙂

everyone should just be covered is exactly right. this idea of forcing people to impoverish themselves, or forcing already impoverished people to humiliate themselves and beg, before giving them any help is beyond repugnant. the fact this t’s also economically, as well as ethicallly, the better choice to cover everyone— but i’m beginning to repeat myself.

at least you can get a policy…. but my point was less about what the lower priced policies cover or where you can find them, and more about refuting what that one person said about going online and easily finding an affordable policy in just a few minutes.

even in bad zip codes, you can get a good quote from an online search. the prices go up from there once the underwriting kicks in: pre-existing medical conditions? dangerous job? dangerous hobby? and your age is…? not to mention the fact that they can also charge you a higher health insurance premium based on your credit rating.

i wanted to start my own landscaping business some years ago. not quite as great a chance of lopping off body parts in landscaping as in carpentry, but you still have to get thousands and thousands of dollars of various insurances before you can get the various licenses, and it was going to cost me enough up front that i eventually decided that i couldn’t do it.

anybody, no matter what the business [except possibly mafia don or drug kingpin], who is making it as a small business owner deserves nothing short of accolades.

and of course i’ll like the story better if the kids have earned their scholarships based entirely on scholastic ability [there’s another “american dream” btw]. i hope that’s the real reason, rather then the one i posited.

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By: Bryan https://whynow.dumka.us/2007/10/10/economic-reality/comment-page-1/#comment-30249 Fri, 12 Oct 2007 04:28:41 +0000 http://whynow.dumka.us/2007/10/10/economic-reality/#comment-30249 Hipparchia, for some reason you got flagged as spam, sorry about that.

First, as a carpenter he has to have disability insurance to get his business license in most jurisdictions, as well as, property and liability insurance. The rates are not cheap, and they are not optional.

They have made some good buying decisions and are making it in a tough racket – small business.

As for getting quotes based on zip codes, the rate for the zip code for the main post office boxes is probably great, since no one lives there. You need the zip code for their address, not just Baltimore, and then you need to know what’s covered in the policy. I can get a policy down here for next to nothing, and that’s exactly what’s covered – next to nothing.

I get the feeling that the kids got into the private school based on testing. That’s why they can get scholarship money. A lot of private schools do it to raise their ratings score and cover for the “gentleman Cs” of the moneyed class. The little girl is now covered by “special needs” funding.

They shouldn’t need CHIP, everyone should just be covered.

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By: Bryan https://whynow.dumka.us/2007/10/10/economic-reality/comment-page-1/#comment-30248 Fri, 12 Oct 2007 04:13:29 +0000 http://whynow.dumka.us/2007/10/10/economic-reality/#comment-30248 It is unconscionable that people are forced to such extremes because of the failures of our health care system.

One of the arguments about assisted suicide is that some would do it to spare their family the medical expenses.

The Texas law that allows hospitals to end life support is based on costs.

Hospitals that dump indigent people on Skid Row to avoid the costs.

There are so many area of our life that are directly impacted by the cost of providing health care, that the need for universal health care is obvious for moral and financial reasons.

These people just don’t care, Steve, they just don’t care.

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By: Steve Bates https://whynow.dumka.us/2007/10/10/economic-reality/comment-page-1/#comment-30245 Fri, 12 Oct 2007 02:03:03 +0000 http://whynow.dumka.us/2007/10/10/economic-reality/#comment-30245 “medical divorces.”

Ah, yes, Mr. Bush, always family-friendly…

“Medical divorce” was suggested at one point to my father when Mom was institutionalized with Alzheimer’s, by some adviser who saw things only in financial terms. Dad was kind enough not to wring the adviser’s neck.

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By: Bryan https://whynow.dumka.us/2007/10/10/economic-reality/comment-page-1/#comment-30234 Thu, 11 Oct 2007 04:58:42 +0000 http://whynow.dumka.us/2007/10/10/economic-reality/#comment-30234 As I said, real estate and stocks only have value if you can find someone who wants to buy them, and no one’s buying right now. in any case the only means test for CHIP is income, and their income meets the test.

Actually, under the Maryland plan they may have qualified for supplemental insurance even if they had basic health insurance through work.

What was happening in Florida before CHIPs was “medical divorces.” When a child was seriously ill, the couple would divorce so that the mother and children would be eligible for Medicade.

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By: hipparchia https://whynow.dumka.us/2007/10/10/economic-reality/comment-page-1/#comment-30231 Thu, 11 Oct 2007 04:32:22 +0000 http://whynow.dumka.us/2007/10/10/economic-reality/#comment-30231 michelle malkin

suv? blame bush. the $100,000 limit has been reduced back down to $25,000 [if memory serves] but the idea was to make it affordable for small individual- and family-owned businesses [including farmers! and woodworkers!] to be able to afford to buy the heavier vehicles and equipment needed for real work.

that house nearby that recently sold for $485,000 or whatever the cited figure was… it’s very possible, especially in old sections of old cities for run-down, not-yet-regentrified neighborhoods to exist side-by-side with wealthy neighborhoods sporting huge and expensive homes. that photo looks like it could have been from such a neighborhood.

i’m vociferously against school choice, school vouchers, the privatization of the public school system, but it would warm the cockles of my cold black heart if it should turn out that the frost family lives in one of those neighborhoods with a failing school and qualified for vouchers to private school under nclb.

and that bit about health insurance? sure, you can go to ehealthinsurance.com, type in a zip code for baltimore, and find plans quoted at $400-$800/month for a family of 6. but wait, carpenters are always shooting themselves with nail guns, slicing off fingers with skil saws, or falling off roofs and breaking their necks. i’m betting the insurance companies want a fortune for insuring them.

so here’s a family who’s bought their own home, a decent but not extravagant one, own their own business [owning their own warehouse, no less], and is getting their kids a good education, in short, they’re the complete embodiment of the self-sufficient rugged individualism so prized by americans, especially the right-wingers.

in return for living up to this ideal, what do they get when they need a helping hand? the wingnuts want them to sell the house and business and truck and place the entire family into penury [from which they’ll likely never escape] before — grudgingly — consenting to help out. all rational economic arguments aside, the sheer meanness of that attitude is stunning.

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