It is possible that there are several coups occurring at the same time in different groups because of the turmoil, i.e. the incompetent election coup has created an opening for opponents of Khamenei to push for different leadership. The conservatives are not a single group, but a collection behind different ayatollahs, all of whom believing they should be the Supreme Leader.
Lots of raw data, but no way of being sure of reliability. Even eye witnesses can be unreliable, especially when there’s gunfire.
As much as I would like to help, the best help any American can give is to push to keep the US government out of the situation.
]]>Of course, if civil war *does* break out in Iran, the proper course of the US is to stand outside, watch, and congratulate whoever wins it. We already experimented with interfering in other people’s civil wars, in Vietnam and in Iraq. It just prolongs the bloodletting. The road to hell is paved with good intentions and all that…
]]>Ahmadinejad was in the Basij during the Iran-Iraq War, and I think he holds sway with the units in Tehran, but it is hard to judge how much sway he has with the Pasdaran command, nominally loyal to the Supreme Leader.
]]>The “theft” might be bigger than an election.
]]>Seriously I can only imagine what’s going on behind the scenes in Qom and Tehran
.-= ´s last blog ..Iranian government fires on protestors =-.