Austerity will make things worse, and the debt harder to pay off. If you don’t have some inflation, people won’t spend money, they’ll hoard it. Someone has to spend or the economy stalls out.
]]>Anyway… Krugman points out:
The Strange Death of Fiscal Policy
]]>One clear result of the midterms is that we won’t have anything like a further round of stimulus. And this, in turn, means that the narrative all the Very Serious People will tell is that fiscal policy was tried, it failed, and that’s that.
But the real facts don’t at all support the conventional wisdom.
Actually, let me focus on an international comparison. You often hear the US experience contrasted with Germany: America, we’re told, went for Keynesian policies, while Germany chose austerity, and Germany did better.
But as far as GDP is concerned, Germany did not, in fact, do better
…
Yes, Germany did better on employment — but this reflects policies that American conservatives surely don’t support, including employment subsidies, strong unions, and rules making it difficult to fire workers.And what may be even more surprising: if we look at actual government purchases of goods and services, as opposed to transfer payments (many of them just payments from the federal government to states), Germany was more Keynesian than the United States
…
So, it’s an amazing thing: Obama and company have managed to convince people that big government failed, without actually delivering big government.Update: Just to be clear, I’m not saying that the Germans were big Keynesians; the point is that neither of us were.
Broder: ‘As We Accelerate Preparations For War [With Iran], The Economy Will Improve’
I think Cole get’s it mostly right (thogh even he doesn’t seem to realise how bad a war with Iran would be):
On How War with Iran might Destroy the United States
Though I do strongly disagree with Cole’s opening paragraph! Broder is a complete right-wing neo-con tool! And if I was Cole… I wouldn’t be holding my breath for a retraction or any *thoughtful* corrections from Broder!
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