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The Way Science Works

Scientists in Ottawa were attempting to calculate the number of myocarditis (inflammation of the heart) cases that could be anticipated after a Covid vaccination. They determined that it was 1 in a thousand and wrote a paper that was released in pre-print (i.e. before it was peer reviewed). This pre-print was noticed by anti-vaxxers and used to attack the vaccines.

While readying the paper for peer review the scientists discovered an error in their data – Study saying COVID-19 vaccines cause heart inflammation that was hyped by anti-vaxxers, withdrawn due to miscalculation:

However, the study has been retracted due to a miscalculation, Reuters reported.

The rate of myocarditis – the inflammation of the heart muscle – was calculated by dividing the number of COVID-19 vaccines in Ottawa by the number of incidences of the heart condition.

By their calculations, the risk of myocarditis was 1 in 1,000 or 0.1%.

However, the numbers used by the study were wrong. The authors largely underestimated the amount of vaccines delivered, giving a number 25 times smaller than the actual amount.

They initially said that the number of vaccines delivered was 32,379 – when it was actually 854,930.

You make your study and get ready to publish the results. If your results are shown to be erroneous, you admit it and correct the error. After more than 100 years we are still testing Einstein’s works – it’s what scientists do…

October 16, 2021   No Comments

Fact Checking

The Norwegian Nobel Institute awards Nobel Prizes for Peace, Chemistry, Physics, Physiology or Medicine, and Literature.

The Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel is awarded by the Swedish National Bank and is not affiliated with the Nobel Institute.

On Twitter the twit, Marjorie Taylor Greene, is running a poll on whether there should be a “national divorce”. Just because she is divorced from reality doesn’t mean everyone else should be. In five years in the middle of the 19th century an “attempted divorce” probably caused almost as many or more deaths than Covid-19, depending on the records reviewed. I can’t believe that a Georgian would want to go through that period again. Does William Tecumseh Sherman ring a bell Marjorie?

October 12, 2021   2 Comments

It’s A Holiday

It’s the second Monday in October, so it is Thanksgiving Day / Jour de l’Action de grâce in Canada. Have a happy one.

The US Federal government has decided to call it Columbus Day [and/or Indigenous Peoples’ Day (if the Indigenous People had had better control of their borders, they wouldn’t have been replaced by white whackos)] , even when it isn’t on the 12th of October which was the second Wednesday in 1492. But it’s okay that the holiday can be on the wrong day, because Christopher Columbus [AKA: Cristoforo Colombo, Cristóbal Colón] didn’t find what he was looking for and identified what he did find incorrectly. The important thing is that a large area of the map got changed from “here be dragons and sea serpents,” to “here be gold and cannibals” and no mention was made of the oppressive heat, mosquitoes, or hurricanes.

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October 11, 2021   No Comments

Enough!

To all of the various and sundry groups sending me appeals to give them money, or sign a petition, or take a survey, or other annoying requests:

The elections are more than a year away and people aren’t really going to care for another 10 months.

I don’t know where the supposed ads are because I haven’t seen any with the names of those requesting money.

I don’t sign petitions for anything other than Florida ballot items.

I don’t fill out surveys because I don’t see the point. Politicians need to tell people what they will work for.

The Postal Service won’t give the town I live in a separate zip code, so the mail comes through the Fort Walton Beach Post Office. I don’t live in or vote in Fort Walton Beach.

I am “represented” by Matt Gaetz, Marco Rubio, and Rick Scott in the Federal Government. Contacting them about anything would be a waste of my time. None of them have done anything for Florida or me.

October 7, 2021   2 Comments

Post-Tropical Cyclone Sam – Day 14

Post-Tropical Cyclone SamPosition: 51.0N 39.4W [ 4:00AM CDT 0900UTC].
Movement: North [010°] near 23 mph [37 kph].
Maximum sustained winds: 80 mph [130 kph].
Wind Gusts: 100 mph [160 kph].
Tropical Storm Wind Radius: 460 miles [740 km].
Hurricane Wind Radius: 80 miles [130 km].
Minimum central pressure: 970 mb ↑.

Currently about 690 miles [1110 km] East-Northeast of Cape Race, Newfoundland.

This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system.

Here’s the link for NOAA’s latest satellite images.

[For the latest information click on the storm symbol, or go to the CATEGORIES drop-down box below the CALENDAR and select “Hurricanes” for all of the posts related to storms on this site.]

October 5, 2021   No Comments

Hurricane Sam – Day 13

Hurricane SamPosition: 47.7N 40.2W [10:00PM CDT 0300UTC].
Movement: North-Northeast [030°] near 29 mph [46 kph].
Maximum sustained winds: 85 mph [140 kph].
Wind Gusts: 105 mph [170 kph].
Tropical Storm Wind Radius: 460 miles [740 km].
Hurricane Wind Radius: 80 miles [130 km].
Minimum central pressure: 965 mb.

Currently about 610 miles [ 980 km] East of Cape Race, Newfoundland.

Here’s the link for NOAA’s latest satellite images.

[For the latest information click on the storm symbol, or go to the CATEGORIES drop-down box below the CALENDAR and select “Hurricanes” for all of the posts related to storms on this site.]

October 4, 2021   No Comments

Remnants Victor – Day 6

Remnants VictorPosition: 18.8N 45.2W [10:00AM CDT 1500UTC].
Movement: West-Northwest [300°] near 15 mph [24 kph].
Maximum sustained winds: 30 mph [ 45 kph].
Wind Gusts: 40 mph [ 65 kph].
Minimum central pressure: 1011 mb ↑.

Currently about 1410 miles [2270 km] West of the Cabo Verde Islands.

This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system.

Here’s the link for NOAA’s latest satellite images.

[For the latest information click on the storm symbol, or go to the CATEGORIES drop-down box below the CALENDAR and select “Hurricanes” for all of the posts related to storms on this site.]

October 4, 2021   No Comments

Hurricane Sam – Day 12

Hurricane SamPosition: 39.3N 51.2W [10:00PM CDT 0300UTC].
Movement: Northeast [050°] near 20 mph [31 kph].
Maximum sustained winds: 105 mph [165 kph].
Wind Gusts: 125 mph [200 kph].
Tropical Storm Wind Radius: 240 miles [390 km].
Hurricane Wind Radius: 70 miles [110 km].
Minimum central pressure: 957 mb ↓.

Currently about 520 miles [ 835 km] South of Cape Race, Newfoundland.

Here’s the link for NOAA’s latest satellite images.

[For the latest information click on the storm symbol, or go to the CATEGORIES drop-down box below the CALENDAR and select “Hurricanes” for all of the posts related to storms on this site.]

October 3, 2021   No Comments

Tropical Depression Victor – Day 5

Tropical Depression VictorPosition: 17.8N 43.0W [10:00PM CDT 0300UTC].
Movement: Northwest [305°] near 15 mph [24 kph].
Maximum sustained winds: 35 mph [ 55 kph].
Wind Gusts: 45 mph [ 70 kph].
Minimum central pressure: 1007 mb.

Currently about 1260 miles [2030 km] West of the Cabo Verde Islands.

Here’s the link for NOAA’s latest satellite images.

[For the latest information click on the storm symbol, or go to the CATEGORIES drop-down box below the CALENDAR and select “Hurricanes” for all of the posts related to storms on this site.]

October 3, 2021   No Comments

Hurricane Sam – Day 11

Hurricane SamPosition: 36.4N 57.1W [10:00PM CDT 0300UTC].
Movement: Northeast [040°] near 16 mph [26 kph].
Maximum sustained winds: 115 mph [185 kph].
Wind Gusts: 140 mph [225 kph].
Tropical Storm Wind Radius: 240 miles [390 km].
Hurricane Wind Radius: 70 miles [110 km].
Minimum central pressure: 955 mb ↑.

Currently about 520 miles [ 840 km] Northeast of Bermuda.

Here’s the link for NOAA’s latest satellite images.

[For the latest information click on the storm symbol, or go to the CATEGORIES drop-down box below the CALENDAR and select “Hurricanes” for all of the posts related to storms on this site.]

October 2, 2021   No Comments

Tropical Depression Victor – Day 4

Tropical Depression VictorPosition: 14.8N 38.9W [10:00PM CDT 0300UTC].
Movement: Northwest [310°] near 14 mph [22 kph].
Maximum sustained winds: 35 mph [ 55 kph].
Wind Gusts: 45 mph [ 70 kph].
Minimum central pressure: 1005 mb ↓.

Currently about 995 miles [1600 km] West of the Cabo Verde Islands.

Here’s the link for NOAA’s latest satellite images.

[For the latest information click on the storm symbol, or go to the CATEGORIES drop-down box below the CALENDAR and select “Hurricanes” for all of the posts related to storms on this site.]

October 2, 2021   No Comments

Hurricane Sam – Day 10

Hurricane SamPosition: 31.4N 61.2W [10:00PM CDT 0300UTC].
Movement: North-Northeast [020°] near 17 mph [28 kph].
Maximum sustained winds: 145 mph [230 kph].
Wind Gusts: 170 mph [275 kph].
Tropical Storm Wind Radius: 205 miles [335 km].
Hurricane Wind Radius: 60 miles [ 95 km].
Minimum central pressure: 940 mb ↑.

Currently about 220 miles [ 355 km] East-Southeast of Bermuda.

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect from Bermuda.

Here’s the link for NOAA’s latest satellite images.

[For the latest information click on the storm symbol, or go to the CATEGORIES drop-down box below the CALENDAR and select “Hurricanes” for all of the posts related to storms on this site.]

October 1, 2021   No Comments

Tropical Storm Victor – Day 3

Tropical Storm VictorPosition: 12.3N 35.3W [10:00PM CDT 0300UTC].
Movement: West-Northwest [295°] near 13 mph [20 kph].
Maximum sustained winds: 70 mph [115 kph].
Wind Gusts: 75 mph [120 kph].
Tropical Storm Wind Radius: 140 miles [260 km].
Minimum central pressure: 999 mb ↑.

Currently about 800 miles [1285 km] West-Southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands.

Here’s the link for NOAA’s latest satellite images.

[For the latest information click on the storm symbol, or go to the CATEGORIES drop-down box below the CALENDAR and select “Hurricanes” for all of the posts related to storms on this site.]

October 1, 2021   No Comments

Hurricane Sam – Day 9

Hurricane SamPosition: 25.0N 61.2W [10:00PM CDT 0300UTC].
Movement: North-Northwest [345°] near 16 mph [26 kph].
Maximum sustained winds: 145 mph [215 kph].
Wind Gusts: 170 mph [275 kph].
Tropical Storm Wind Radius: 150 miles [240 km].
Hurricane Wind Radius: 60 miles [ 95 km].
Minimum central pressure: 938 mb.

Currently about 550 miles [ 885 km] South-Southeast of Bermuda.

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect from Bermuda.

Here’s the link for NOAA’s latest satellite images.

[For the latest information click on the storm symbol, or go to the CATEGORIES drop-down box below the CALENDAR and select “Hurricanes” for all of the posts related to storms on this site.]

September 30, 2021   No Comments