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Not Good At All

Dr. Jeff Masters, the Weather Underground’s hurricane guru interrupted his vacation: Severe Cyclone Gonu Prepares to Strike the Gulf of Oman

An unusual event is happening over the next 48 hours, as the first tropical cyclone with hurricane-force winds, and major hurricane-force winds at that, is approaching the Gulf of Oman, to strike the eastern coast of Oman, curve northward, and make landfall on the coast of Iran. In the tropical cyclone best tracks and the modern era of weather satellites, there is no record of such an occurrence.

Oman is going to experience something it has never known, a hurricane. Almost everyone lives on the coastal plain, and if they haven’t evacuated to higher ground they are probably going to be underwater from the storm surge.

Jeff has a couple of people helping out, and the post is filled with pictures and graphics to demonstrate a disaster in the making. Almost everyone in the area lives on the equivalent of a barrier island, barely above high tide, and there are few roads out.

2 comments

1 hipparchia { 06.06.07 at 12:46 am }

yikes!

although, it now looks like oman may be spared the very worst of what could have happened, and iran and pakistan may need to batten down the hatches.

2 Bryan { 06.06.07 at 4:06 pm }

The Strait of Hormuz has been closed for two days, and no one knows what will happen. I would hope that the Navy had every ship head for the open ocean, because the Gulf is too shallow and too narrow to maneuver.

No as bad as it might have been, but bad enough for people who have never experienced a hurricane.