Soviet/Russia Mechanized Movements
When I was stationed at Rhein-Main Air Base outside of Frankfurt am Main one of our main concerns was the Soviet Army coming in through the Fulda Gap. This was the easiest path for mechanized troops to enter the heartland of Europe from the Soviet Union.
An extremely important piece of information was the weather forecast for East Germany. The path was mud during the early Spring when the ground thawed which allowed us to relax a bit. Tracked vehicles might make it through the muck, but the wheeled vehicles that supplied them with fuel and ammunition would be forced to use roads. Main battle tanks tear up secondary roads, but they would have to travel close to the roads to be supplied. MBTs don’t have Prius fuel economy ratings. This makes them easy targets. If you take out the supply vehicles, the tanks become fixed artillery positions.
The ten-day forecast for the Ukraine shows above freezing temperatures and intermittent rain. The Russians have waited too long for their mechanized units to be fully effective. They were already having trouble with the wetlands in Belarus.
The Russian may invade, but they can’t win. Ukrainians are not Russians and don’t want to be. Guerrilla groups can be supplied via Poland. Once the sanctions begin, Putin will have trouble in Moscow as well as Kyiv. NATO will rearm.
February 20, 2022 24 Comments
