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Last Day

The CBC’s Éric Grenier has been tracking the opinion polls: Liberals poised for win barring Conservative surprise

After 78 days, it all comes down to tomorrow. And the polls, at least, suggest that the day will go to the Liberals, installing Justin Trudeau as Canada’s next prime minister.

​Up to and including those published by early Sunday morning, the Liberals have led in 17 consecutive polls, including surveys conducted by eight different polling firms using an array of methodologies.

The leads are in excess of the margin of error, but, no matter what the methodology, the polls are dependent on the respondents telling the truth. The only poll that matters is the one that will take place tomorrow by voters marking ballots.