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Hurricane Michael – Day 4

Hurricane MichaelPosition: 27.1N 86.5W [10PM CDT 0300 UTC].
Movement: North [355°] near 12 mph [19 kph].
Maximum sustained winds: 125 mph [205 kph].
Wind Gusts: 140 mph [225 kph].
Tropical Storm Wind Radius: 175 miles [280 km].
Hurricane Wind Radius: 45 miles [ 75 km].
Minimum central pressure: 947 mb ↓.

Currently about 220 miles [ 355 km] South-Southwest of Panama City, Florida and 228 miles [ 367 km] South of Cinco Bayou, Florida.

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for the Gulf Coast of Florida from the Alabama-Florida border eastward to Suwanee River, Florida.

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect from the Alabama-Florida border westward to the Mississippi-Alabama border; Suwanee River, Florida to Chassahowitzka, Florida; Fernandina Beach, Florida to South Santee River, South Carolina

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for Okaloosa/Walton County Line, Florida to Anclote River, Florida.

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Chassahowitzka, Florida to Anna Maria Island, Florida, including Tampa Bay; Mississippi/Alabama border to the Mouth of the Pearl River; South Santee River, South Carolina to Duck, North Carolina; the Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect from Anclote River, Florida eastward to Anna Maria Island, Florida, including Tampa Bay; Alabama/Florida border to Okaloosa/Walton County Line, Florida.

Here’s the link for NOAA’s latest satellite images.

[For the latest information click on the storm symbol, or go to the CATEGORIES drop-down box below the CALENDAR and select “Hurricanes” for all of the posts related to storms on this site.]

7 comments

1 JuanitaM { 10.09.18 at 8:30 am }

Just saw the weather report and looks like this is headed directly your way! I’m sure you’re busy battening down the hatches and getting yourself and the rest of the furry family out of the way.

Stay safe and dry.

2 Badtux { 10.09.18 at 11:06 am }

Stay safe, old friend. Stay safe.

3 Bryan { 10.09.18 at 12:05 pm }

The storm is coming in to the East in Panama City, so it isn’t a real problem for me other than trying to calm down new tenants who haven’t been under a hurricane warning before.

Juanita, you need to track it because it is going to dump more water on the Carolinas and Virginia. If you are on the East side of the ‘ridge’ things are going to get damp. It is forecast to remain a tropical storm as transits the land on its way to the Atlantic.

4 JuanitaM { 10.10.18 at 10:21 am }

Oh gawd, Bryan, say it ain’t so! We have just dried out from Florence (approx 9″ in 3 days). Thankfully, my house is on high ground so there’s no real chance of it flooding, but it washed out lots of roads up in the mountains here. You couldn’t go anywhere without running into rivers of water flowing over the road.

I’m looking at it the hurricane and it looks like you are on the edge of the major winds. If it moves ever so slightly west, you could be in the middle of it. Sending good thoughts your way!

5 Bryan { 10.10.18 at 11:00 am }

With the 10:30am update the storm started to move away from me. It should make landfall just to the East of Panama City.

I’m sorry to be the bearer of bad tidings, but the forecasts are all pointing to Florence survivors getting another drenching while they are waiting for insurance money to fix their roofs.

6 JuanitaM { 10.10.18 at 11:34 am }

Oh boy…

Well, I am on the top of a big hill at a higher elevation in Virginia (on the NC border), and I didn’t even get water in my basement during Florence. BUT, I was basically housebound because of the flash flooding and rivers overflowing their banks. And that’s okay, I certainly can’t complain. I have a cousin in the Fayetteville area that lost her house and most of her possessions during Florence. They got something like 24″ in a 3 day period! Yikes.

We lose someone up here almost every year that thinks they can cross over the flowing water on the road. They don’t get the difference between simply rising waters vs. moving water which starts destabilizing the road base. It comes crashing down these mountainsides and creates new waterways on its rush to a lower level. I don’t have to go out if I don’t want to. I work for myself and make the rules, so I don’t do it.

7 Bryan { 10.10.18 at 4:27 pm }

Y’all have real dirt, whereas I’m sitting on white, quartz sand. Flooding is a problem for roads and place where people have hauled in real dirt to grow grass [something I have never understood]. People have no concept of how much power moving water has. It doesn’t take a great deal of speed to turn a car into an unstable ‘boat’. In South Florida there may be a sink hole hiding under a pool of muddy water. If I can’t see the bottom, I’ll wait it out.

Our problem is moving water taking out the approaches to bridges. The bridges will be fine, but there’s no way of getting to them until the approach roads are repaired.

When I lived in San Diego, every time there was a signicant rain event someone died from not paying attention.

Stay dry. I have to form up some raking parties.