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Maybe Some Good Storm News

Dr. Jeff Masters notes the latest predictions for the season: Average hurricane season foreseen by CSU and NOAA.

The CSU team is calling for 11 named storms, 5 hurricanes, and 2 intense hurricanes, and an Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) 88% of average. Between 1950 – 2000, the average season had 10 named storms, 6 hurricanes, and 2 intense hurricanes. But since 1995, the beginning of an active hurricane period in the Atlantic, we’ve averaged 15 named storms, 8 hurricanes, and 4 intense hurricanes per year.

The big factors are cooler than normal Sea Surface Temperatures for this time of year, and the possibility that an El Niño is developing in the Pacific.

Of course, it doesn’t mean much if there is only one storm this season, but it becomes a category 5 and takes aim at you.

There is an area of interest, Invest 92L, out in the Atlantic near the Azores, but it looks like it will mainly produce rain, in Spain… OK, on the plain.


1 Steve Bates { 06.03.09 at 7:34 am }

The blogger Pen-Elayne once wrote a post on how frustrating she found it that people mistakenly substitute the words “reign” or “rain” in the phrase “rein in.” She noted how seldom she had encountered other complaints about the error. I left her a comment:

“The ‘rein-in’ pain stays mainly in Elayne.”

(And now back to Serious business for Serious people…)

Steve Bates´s last blog post..Crunch Time

2 Bryan { 06.03.09 at 2:37 pm }

That wasn’t really fair to the lady 😉