Invest 92
Invest 92 is well out in the Atlantic but it has the beginning of a closed circulation over very warm water and a lot of moisture in the surrounding air.
Currently the wind shear isn’t a major problem because it is South of the jet stream, so it could spin up in the next day or two, as it heads for the Caribbean.
Because of the counter-clockwise winds around tropical storms, if it spins up and enters the Gulf, it would be nice if it stayed to the East of the Well from Hell, as that would push the oil away from the shore line. If it passes over or to the West of the Well, we’ll have oily storm surge to contend with and the interior waterways will get polluted.