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Tropical Update

There are four Invests currently being watched in the Atlantic basin:

94L is the most serious possibility. It is tracking a lot like Dean and is currently East of the Lesser Antilles. Development has been slow because of dry, dusty air to the North, but that impediment will be passed in a few days and it should spin to life.

95L is due East of Jacksonville, Florida, and if it develops looks like a problem for shipping and fish.

96L is due East of Jacksonville, North Carolina, and if it develops might cause some excitement for coastal Nova Scotia and Newfoundland.

97L is a Bay of Campeche pop-up that looks like it will be more unneeded rain to Mexico in the area Dean soaked.

The current steering is good news, but it won’t last. There have been several Bay of Campeche pop-ups lately, and if they get to head North, instead of West, life gets exciting.


1 Steve Bates { 08.30.07 at 2:18 pm }

Wow. Two of the four came up on the WU site since I last looked, which was some time yesterday. I guess I’ll have to go to twice a day, or even more often.

A dumb question: why do some Invests have an L after the number and some don’t?

2 Bryan { 08.30.07 at 3:01 pm }

The letter indicates the ocean: L = AtLantic, E = Eastern Pacific, W = Western Pacific.

They have a habit of dropping the L because it is the main concern for the US.

updated: oh, yeah, it is prime time now, and these suckers can just leap up in a couple of hours, especially around the Yucatan.

3 Steve Bates { 08.31.07 at 2:02 pm }

What I learned today in school on the WU site: “favorable wind shear” is one of those phrases like “HIV positive”; one has to wonder… “favorable” or “positive” for whom? 🙂

4 Bryan { 08.31.07 at 3:43 pm }

There are times over there when I get the impression they are rooting for the hurricanes.

5 hipparchia { 08.31.07 at 7:44 pm }

i have to admit to a certain amount of fellow feeling here:

And mobile homes are smotherin’ my Keys
I hate those bastards so much
I wish a summer squall would blow them all
The way up to fantasy land
Yeah they’re ugly and square, they don’t belong here
They looked a lot better as beer cans

6 Bryan { 09.01.07 at 12:09 am }

Trailers are the worse concept there is for a hurricane zone. They should be banned. There are small houses that can fill the same niche, and are much stronger.

7 hipparchia { 09.01.07 at 10:18 am }

yabbut, for the same money, you can get either a smaller, well-built house or a larger, tacked-together trailer. i’d prefer smaller and better-made, but that doesn’t seem to be the norm in the population at large. supersize me has been the norm for a long time now, in just about everything.

8 Bryan { 09.01.07 at 11:22 am }

The Katrina cottage designs are so much better than “manufactured houses” that it is a waste to buy the tacked together “double-wides”. The other problem with trailers is the overuse of formaldehyde resins that aren’t properly sealed. Not as bad as travel trailers, but still there.